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Celebrating Liberty with George F. Will
11.12.2008 6:00:00 PM
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Cocktail Reception with Michael Medved
6.5.2008 6:00:00 PM
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The Fed Painted Into a Keynesian Corner
By: Robert P. Murphy
1.22.2008


This morning the Fed announced a surprise rate cut of 75 basis points, the biggest cut in 24 years.  Yet the stock market nosedived anyway, with the S&P 500 shedding 1.1% during the session, bringing its total losses to 10.75% for 2008.  The Fed is finding that it has lost control over the market:  If it stays pat, investors gripe about a credit crunch and stocks plunge, while if it cuts aggressively, then investors assume things are worse than they realized and rush to Treasuries.



Fed, inflation, recession


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The Writers Strike and Jay Leno's Monologue
By: Robert P. Murphy
1.11.2008


In entertainment news, the excitement this week was the decision by Jay Leno and Jimmy Kimmel to appear as guests on each other’s show.    During Kimmel’s appearance on “The Tonight Show,” the issue came up that Leno himself—in his capacity as a writer and member of the Writers Guild—is prohibited from writing jokes.  Incredibly, not only is Leno forbidden from writing jokes for Kimmel…he can’t even write jokes for himself.  I’m not exaggerating:  The official Writers Guild position is that Leno has permission to do a monologue.  But if he writes his own monologue, then he has crossed the picket line.

unions, strike, Jay Leno


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How to Make Americans Economically Savvier?
By: Sebastian Wisniewski
12.28.2007


The U.S. housing market is in trouble partly thanks to the economic naivety of many Americans. Real estate buyers, including young first-time home owners, were lured by the low down payments (sometimes none at all) and low interest rates betting that market conditions won't change in an undesired way.



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The Fed's Role in the Housing Bubble
By: Robert P. Murphy
12.28.2007


In his 12/26 op ed for the Wall Street Journal, former Treasury Secretary John Snow blamed the “current situation” in our housing and credit markets on the “accumulation in recent years of large pools of excess savings around the globe.”  Yet Snow’s theory doesn’t add up, and overlooks the role of Greenspan’s Federal Reserve in fostering the housing bubble.



housing, bubble, Federal Reserve, Greenspan


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Economic growth relies on production, not just spending.
By: Robert P. Murphy
12.14.2007


Our financial press is always stuck in a Keynesian mindset, but the tendency is particularly pronounced during the Christmas season—here’s a typical article.  The moral seems to be that if only consumers would go out and spend more money, the economy would grow, stores would hire more people, and workers would have more money to spend, thus completing the circle.  Yet as with most Keynesian ideas, this view has things largely backwards.

spending, recession, Keynesian


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A Virtual Economy Case Study
By: Sebastian Wisniewski
12.4.2007


What if there was a way to live a life without meaningful consequences? What if individuals could participate in a virtual economy largely separate from the one surrounding us in the real world? What if policies could be applied to real people, but with laboratorial consequences? Second Life, an internet-based virtual world often compared to a computer game, and its derivatives may offer answers to those questions.





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The Case Against California’s Minimum Wage Hike
By: Sebastian Wisniewski
11.30.2007


On January 1, 2008 California’s minimum wage will increase once again, this time from 7.50 dollars per hour to 8.00 dollars per hour. According to the U.S. Department of Labor, that translates into a 6.7 percent increase, compared to a median wage increase of 4.4 percent for the Golden State. That is bad news for Californians and the state’s economy.





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"Can Free Markets Be Designed?" (on Forbes.com)
By: Robert P. Murphy
11.21.2007


Recently Forbes.com ran my article discussing this year's Nobel laureates in economics.  The typical press treatment said their work in mechanism design theory showed the flaws in markets, but I disagree with that conclusion.

mechanism design, Nobel, game theory


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Greenspan's Suggestion for Measuring the Federal Deficit
By: Robert P. Murphy
11.16.2007


A couple of months ago former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan ruffled feathers by criticizing the fiscal record of the Bush Administration.  Dick Cheney himself responded in a Wall Street Journal op ed.  Yet largely lost in the argument was Greenspan’s suggestion that we switch from a cash flow to an accrual method when measuring the federal budget deficit.  (See this interview , about 2/3 of the way down.)  In this post I explain the difference.



Greenspan, deficit, accrual


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"Will we run out of oil?" is the wrong question.
By: Robert P. Murphy
11.8.2007


Over the past few months I’ve participated on panels that apply free market principles to the oil industry.  We often get the question, “Will we run out of oil?”  The answer is “no,” but that’s neither comforting nor alarming because the person asked the wrong question.  Really what the person wants to know is, “Will energy become more or less scarce as we continue to use nonrenewable resources such as oil?”

oil, energy, sustainability, price system


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